There’s really no such thing as a “cool” summer in Florida, but some years are better than others. According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), 2024 will likely be hotter than other years. NOAA is also predicting a high chance of a wet summer. All put together, it sounds like the Dog Days are going to last a lot longer than they do normally.

In fact, NOAA says there is a one-in-three chance that 2024 will be warmer than 2023 and a 99% chance it will rank among the five warmest on record. Keep in mind that 2023 was the warmest year in recorded history—going back to the mid-19th century—according to the World Meteorological Organization (WMO).

Early Summer

Earlier this month, NOAA released their prediction for the next three months (May-July, 2024):

The Space Coast is in the 40-50% chance of a warmer period during the early summer months.

Titusville has the following climate averages:

Month	High Temp, °F	Low Temp,°F	Average Temp, °F	Inches of Rain	Humidity
May	84°	67°	75°	3.50″	76%
June	88°	72°	80°	6.39″	81%
July	90°	73°	81°	5.75″	81%

While highs of 74°, 88° and 90° may seem tolerable, keep in mind that these are averages and that, by definition, many of the days in those months will be warmer than that. From the looks of the chart above, it could mean that most of those days will be warmer, and coupled with a higher chance of precipitation through the already normally wet period, it could be more humid as well. All that adds up to a prediction that it will be a long, hot summer, even by Florida standards.

Late Summer

While it is somewhat less reliable, and subject to change over the next few months as conditions warrant, late summer looks to be a near repeat of the early summer forecast:

Month	High Temp, °F	Low Temp,°F	Average Temp, °F	Inches of Rain	Humidity
July	90°	73°	81°	5.75″	81%
August	89°	74°	81°	6.65″	82%
September	87°	72°	80°	6.91″	81%

The bottom line seems to be this: it will be hot, and there’s no way to get around that. Just how bad it is remains to be seen.