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SpaceX Falcon 9 (Ovzon-3) launching from Space Launch Complex 40
Photo: Charles Boyer

Weather and technicals permitting, we’ll see three launches from the Space Coast over the next eight days.

Tomorrow, SpaceX plans to launch the Astra1P/SES-24 mission from Space Launch Complex 40.

At the end of the week, Starlink 10-2 will return to the pad after last week’s unexpected abort at ignition.

Next Tuesday, Falcon Heavy is slated to carry the GOES-U weather satellite to orbit for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

Weather

It’s summer, it’s Florida, and that means thunderstorms are a constant possibility, and next week is no different. According to the National Weather Service at 12pm today, tomorrow looks like a toss of the coin where whether is concerned:

Tuesday, June 18 forcast, NWS
Issued Monday June 17
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip

“A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 85. Windy, with an east wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.”

The 45th Weather Squadron has issued an official Probability of Violation for tomorrow’s launch:

During the week, forecasters are predicting the possibility of a weak tropical system coming ashore somewhere Thursday on the Space Coast. While this will hardly be the sort of weather system that has native Floridians heading to Publix to stock up on necessities, it sounds like the kind of system that will bring a lot of rain to the area.

Graphic via NOAA. Retrieved 12pm June 17.
Forecast may be out of date. Refer to current local weather reports for the latest information.

Rain and rocket launches do not happen at the same time as a general rule, of course, so it is very possible that any launch plans for later in the week — specifically Starlink 10-2 — could be affected.

Friday, June 21 forcast, NWS
Issued Monday June 17
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip

A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. East wind 10 to 15 mph.

The best advice: wait and see. It’s Florida and the weather forecast can be highly local and also can change very quickly.

Schedules Can Change Quickly

Keep in mind that launch dates and time can and do change quickly, even on days where the weather is great. One of the best ways to keep up with those changes is to visit Talk of Titusville’s Launch Calendar regularly to check the schedule.


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